Friday, September 30, 2011

A MOTHER'S LOVE...
This makes sense:
"An extra dose of motherly nurturing insulates children from lifelong health problems associated with poverty, a new study says.
The study found that people whose parents did not finish high school were 1.4 times more likely to develop a condition called metabolic syndrome by middle age than children raised by college-educated parents. Metabolic syndrome is a precursor to diabetes and heart disease.
However, among people from less-educated households, those who said they had a very nurturing mother were less likely to develop metabolic syndrome, according to the study published Friday (Sept. 23) in the journal Psychological Science. A nurturing mother in a more educated household had no effect on the likelihood that her adult children had developed metabolic syndrome."

FRIDAY FOOTBALL PICKS
Last week my record was:  well, .500 again--9 wins, 9 losses.  I'll keep trying...

COLLEGE PICK
Nebraska at Wisconsin.  MY PICK:  BADGERS.  I think both these teams are pretty good; both can move the ball effectively.  But Wisconsin is at home; it appears to me that the Husker defense is a bit suspect (it gave up 29 points to Fresno State, for example), and so I look for the Badgers to outscore them...in an entertaining game.

NFL PICKS:

New Orleans at Jacksonville.  LINE:  Saints by 7.5.  MY PICK:  SAINTS.  Drew Brees against Blaine Gabbert?  Sorry--you have to go with Brees and that well-executed Saints passing game.

Carolina at Chicago. LINE:  Bears by 7.  MY PICK:  PANTHERS.  7 points is just too much here, given the struggles of Jay Cutler and that Bears offensive line.  The Bears have a good defense; it will give Cam Newton trouble.  But Green Bay has a good defense too, and Newton moved the ball against them.  Look for the Bears to win this, but it will be a closer game than folks think.

Detroit at Dallas.  LINE:  Cowboys by 1.  MY PICK:  LIONS.  Not by much--it'll be a close game.  But these are the new Lions.  And the Lions have two big matchup winners in this one--Calvin Johnson against the Cowboy secondary, and Ndamokong Suh against that young Cowboys O-line.

Minnesota at Kansas City.  LINE:  Vikings by 2.  MY PICK:  VIKINGS.  You just have to believe that at some point, the Vikes and Adrian Peterson will break through, and I suspect they'll do it here, against the not-quite-so-woebegone-as-the-first-two-weeks-but-still-beat-up Chiefs.

San Francisco at Philadelphia.  LINE: Eagles by 9.  MY PICK:  49ERS.  Not to win; the Eagles will likely pull this one out.  But 9 points is a lot given the Eagles QB situation.  Mike Vick hasn't finished the game the last two weeks.  No guarantee he'll finish this one.  That will make for a tighter game.

Buffalo at Cincinnati.  LINE:  Bills by 3.  MY PICK:  BILLS.  The Bills and Ryan Fitzpatrick are hot, and making plays.  No reason to think that won't continue this week against a Bengals team which really struggled last week against a so-so Niners team.

Washington at St. Louis.  LINE:  Redskins by 2.  MY PICK:  REDSKINS.  The "Skins should have won vs Dallas; I suspect they'll have enough here to get by a Rams team still battered and, given last week's mauling by Baltimore, perhaps reeling.

Pittsburgh at Houston.  LINE:  Texans by 4.  MY PICK:  TEXANS.  Yes, Houston lost to New Orleans last week; but Matt Schaub and the offense played very well, and it's tough to win the Superdome.  It wasn't a bad loss.  Meanwhile the Steelers have O-line issues, and really don't appear, yet, to be playing true Steeler football.  Look for the Texans to take advantage.

Tennessee at Cleveland.  LINE:  pick 'em.  MY PICK:  TITANS.  Matt Hasselbeck looking a bit better right now than Colt McCoy; the Titans' defense with an edge over Cleveland's.

NY Giants at Arizona.  LINE:  Giants by 1. MY PICK:  GIANTS.  The Giants' run game especially was impressive last week at Philly.  The Giants seem to have some mojo going.  The Cardinals?  Losing at Seattle?  Not so much.

Atlanta at Seattle.  LINE:  Falcons by 5.5.  MY PICK:  FALCONS.  The Falcons have not yet been impressive this year.  But they still have the tools to get there.  Seattle?  I'm just not a believer in Tarvaris Jackson at QB.

Miami at San Diego.  LINE:  Chargers by 7.  MY PICK:  DOLPHINS.  Again, I see the Chargers winning this one; but 7 points just seems too much.  The Chargers couldn't even cover last week against the lowly Chiefs.  The Dolphins have played most everyone tough this year so far, despite their winless record.  Look for that to continue this week, as the notoriously slow-starting Chargers continue to find their way.

New England at Oakland.  LINE:  Patriots by 4.5.  MY PICK:  PATRIOTS.  A very interesting matchup; a tough game to pick.  The Patriots showed last week they're not invincible.  The Raiders and Darren McFadden have clearly improved.  But I can't believe Tom Brady will turn the ball over this week like he did last; and no one has yet really stopped that Patriot offense.  Look for it to prevail here.

Denver at Green Bay.  LINE:  Packers by 13.  MY PICK: PACKERS.  A lot of points to cover, but seriously--don't you think the Packers, going against that weak Bronco defense, can cover it?  Aaron Rodgers is playing at a very high level.

NY Jets at Baltimore.  LINE:  Ravens by 4.  MY PICK:  RAVENS.  The Jets are having trouble running the ball; always dangerous when one plays the Ravens--their defense can maul one-dimensional offenses.  Plus the Jets are having trouble stopping the run--see their matador defense last week against Darren McFadden.  Bad news again when you play Ray Rice and the Ravens.

Indianapolis at Tampa Bay.  LINE:  Buccaneers by 10.5.  MY PICK:  COLTS.  I'll probably regret this; BUT--the Bucs' offense is capable but not prolific.  And I thought I saw some pretty positive things in the way Curtis Painter came in and took charge late in that game last week against Pittsburgh.  He may be more capable than people think; if he can move the Colts' offense, they can stay in this game.  This could be a closer game than people think.

"Winning is everything."--Vince Lombardi.  :+)



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